Sunday, February 05, 2023

Grabs by soul, shakes my body like a Super Bowl (2022 edition)...

 Super Bowl LVII (aka 57) takes place this coming Sunday, one week from today.   And that's means it's time for my scientific analysis and prediction of who will win: The Kansas City Chiefs or The Philadelphia Eagles. 

1. The Cities

Chiefs: Kansas City


A population of a 2.3 and some million (in the metro area).  It's got one other professional sports team, the Royals of baseball.  There's really not a whole more else to report about Kansas City (although it was nice to find a pic of their Union Station all lit up in purple).

Eagles: Philadelphia



A population of 6.2 million people in the metro area, making it the 6th largest city in the USA.  In addition to football, it's got a professional baseball, basketball, hockey, soccer and even lacrosse team.  It's got Independence Hall, the Liberty Bell, the Rocky Statue, among many other tourist attractions. 

Winner: Eagles
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2. Distance From Super Bowl
(the theory being, the closer team will have more fans there, making it more of a home field advantage than the other team)

The Super Bowl is in Phoenix Arizona this year (Glendale AZ technically, but we'll go with the place the local team is from)
Chiefs: 1220 miles away
Philadelphia: 2358 miles away

Winner: Chiefs
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3. Team Mascot/Logo

Chiefs: 


Eagles: 



Chiefs are strong, Native American warriors.  Eagles are strong, large birds of prey.  I think Native American Warriors can take a bird, even if it's a large bird of prey.   And the logos are both kinda cool, so that doesn't help.   So I guess the winner is....

Winner: Chiefs
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4. Coaches

Chiefs: Andy Reid


Andy Reid is 64 years old.  He's been a coach, at all levels, since 1982 (40 years).  He's been the Chief's head coach for 9 years.  And in fact, he was the head coach of the Philadelphia Eagles for 13 years.  This will be Andy's 4th Super Bowl, his record in the previous three are 1-2, one win with the Chiefs, and a loss with both the Eagles and the Chiefs. 

Eagles: Nick Sirianni


Nick Sirianni is 41 years old (Andy Reid's been a coach as long as he's been alive!).  He's been a coach, at all levels, since 2004 (18 years). He's been the Eagles head coach since 2021, just 2 years.  He has never been to a Super Bowl before.

Due to age, coaching experience, Super Bowl experience, and just sheer football experience, the winner has got to be...

Winner: Chiefs (Andy Reid)
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5. 2022 Season record
(including playoffs)

Chiefs: 16-3 
Eagles: 16-3

Winner: Tie
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6. Quarterback Experience

Chiefs: Patrick Mahomes, 27 years old.


He has been quarterback of the Chiefs since 2017.   In that time, he has a regular season record of 64-16 (80% win rate), a postseason record of 10-3 (77% win rate), taken his team to the AFC Championship game 5 out of the 6 season he's played, and this will be his third Super Bowl.  He's won a Super Bowl and been a Super Bowl MVP.

Eagles: Jalen Hurts, 24 years old


He has been quarterback of the Eagles since 2020.   IN that time, he as a regular season record of 23-11 (68% win rate) and a postseason record of 2-1 (67% win rate, this was the first time he's played in the NFC Championship game, and this will be his first Super Bowl.  

Winner: Clearly Chiefs
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7.  Quarterback Face Cuteness

Chiefs: Patrick Mahomes
 

Eagles: Jalen Hurts


Honestly, I'm gonna have to call this one a tie

(on a different note, I wonder if there's been a Super Bowl before where both quarterbacks were men of color?)

Winner: Tie

(follow up, I just looked it up and this will be the first time both starting quarterbacks are men of color.  Whaddya know?)
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8. Quarterback Body Hotness

Chiefs: Patrick Mahomes


Eagles: Jalen Hurts


Hmmm, well I'd not throw either of them outta bed (except to fuck them on the floor), but I think I'm gonna give this one to Hurts.  He's just a bit more defined.

(now I may need a minute to think about having these men in bed....at the same time......)

Winner: Eagles
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9. Team's Other Star Player

Chiefs: Travis Kelce


Travis is a Tight End (oh I just BET he is), he's 33 years old, he's played for the Chiefs since 2013 and in that time, he's been in 17 playoff games. 

Eagles: Jason Kelce


He's the team center, he's 35 years old, he's played for the Eagles since 2011 and in that time, he's been to the playoffs six seasons and won one Super Bowl.

Yes, they're brothers and, I just confirmed, this will be the first time brothers have played each other in the Super Bowl.

Winner: (since I prefer a nice bubble butt to a hairy bear) Travis and the Chiefs
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10. Team's Super Bowl Experience.

Chiefs: 
This will be the Chiefs' 5th Super Bowl, current record: 2-2 (50%)
Eagles: 
This will be Eagles' 4th Super Bowl, current record is 1-2 (33%)

Neither record is quite stellar, but clearly, 50% is better than 33%, so...

Winner: Chiefs
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So this completely scientific and totally unbiased study, results in the following: 

Chiefs - 6 wins, Eagles - 2 wins, ties - 2

Thus, at the end of this year's Super Bowl, the Kansas City Chiefs taking home the trophy again.

POLT

PS
Just in case you're wondering what my track record on these "scientific" predictions:

Season     My Pick           Winner
2021        Rams                Rams
2020        Chiefs               Bucs
2019        Chiefs               Chiefs
2018        Rams                Patriots  
2017        neither              Eagles
2016        Patriots             Patriots
2015        Panthers           Broncos    
2014        Seahawks         Patriots    
2013        Seahawks         Seahawks
2012        Ravens             Ravens
2011        Patriots             Giants
2010        Packers             Packers
2009        Saints               Saints
2008        Cardinals          Steelers
2007        Patriots             Giants
2006        Colts                 Colts
2005        Seahawks         Steelers

Predicted correctly: 8; Predicted incorrectly: 8; and 1 I didn't predict at all.  This time will be the tie breaker!

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