Thursday, April 24, 2008

Then read it in the headlines, watch it on TV....

I do have to laugh at the media covering the election.

"Hillary closes the gap" - she netted three more delegates than Obama, with three total left to find out who get them. Even if it all goes her way, a 6 delegate increase, out of 158 eligible and with him having a lead of roughly 130 or so delegeates now, is not really something to be crowing about.

"Hillary wins BIG!" - With a 55-45 percent win, a 10 point sounds big...until you recall that 6 weeks ago, her lead was by 26 points. THAT would have been a BIG win. A ten point margin, well, how many of those has Obama had?

"Hillary gets avalanche of money with PA win" - The figure I saw tonight was that in the two days since her win, she has gotten 1 million dollars. Okay, sounds good. On that pace, she'll make 15 million in a month, which sounds good too...until you realize in March Obama raised 40 million. In March, Hillary herself raised about 21 million. In addition, looking at the finances right now, Obama's campaign has 42million on hand. Hillary's campaign has 9 million on hand, and is 10 million in debt. So this 1 million over the last two days will get her breaking even, which is decidedly good. But remember, Obama's STILL got that 42 million on hand. Were these recent contributions really an 'avalanche'?

I do have to laugh. I don't know if it's because the media prefers Hillary to Obama, or just wants to make a bigger story than there really is. I believe it's the latter.

But with just a handful of primaries left (NC, IND, KEN, WV, OR, MON, SD, PR), and some of these states Obama is way ahead in, is there any way she can realistically win? How can she get her delegates, popular votes, or number of states won to even equal Obama's, much less surpass him?

Yes, mathematically, she still has a chance. But the real question is, realistically, how much of a chance does she have?

POLT Listening to "Vogue" by Madonna

Best bring those muscles too in case your brains or charm fail you. - Max, Metrosexuality

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